Maturly/PTFI Concentrating/Predictive

Predictive Intelligence

Apa yang akan terjadi 7–30 hari ke depan — IPI forward-looking score, forecast, anomaly. Untuk skor kondisi sekarang (SPI) + deep cluster analysis, buka Hazard Intelligence · PTFI Concentrating · monthlyview · Model terakhir dilatih 2026-04-21 04:10 UTC

IPI CRITICAL · 78.7
Executive summary
IPI 78.7 berada di band critical; ini sinyal untuk intervensi proaktif, bukan klaim bahwa insiden pasti terjadi.
Faktor penyumbang IPI terbesar: Persistent clusters, Near-miss surge, Closure decay.
Forecast closure dan TTA dipakai untuk planning resource 7 hari ke depan.
Anomaly feed menunjukkan perubahan pola yang perlu diverifikasi oleh tim HSSE.
0204060100
78.7
Integrated Predictive Index
Stable
Elevated
High
Critical
Signal decomposition
Each signal's contribution = normalized × weight. Click to inspect.
Σ = 78.67
15.5
19.7
20.0
13.5
10.0
Closure decay
w=0.25
n=0.62+15.47
Near-miss surge
w=0.20
n=0.98+19.69
Persistent clusters
w=0.20
n=1.00+20.00
Mgmt disengagement
w=0.15
n=0.90+13.51
Golden Rules drop
w=0.10
n=1.00+10.00
Location concentration
w=0.10
n=0.00+0.00
Top lokasi paling beresiko
Ranked by per-location IPI × risk profile (severity × likelihood). Klik card untuk lihat rec terkait di Action Center.
7 locations tracked
PTFI Concentrating
C3 Flotation
82Critical
Extremesev 5/5 · lik 5/5
Dominant signal
Persistent clusters
+24.0
1 rec active
Action Center
PT BAI
Substation
76Critical
Extremesev 5/5 · lik 4/5
Dominant signal
Persistent clusters
+22.5
1 rec active
Action Center
PT BAI
Utilities
65Critical
Extremesev 5/5 · lik 4/5
Dominant signal
Closure decay
+18.4
1 rec active
Action Center
PTFI Concentrating
CMP Area
47High
Extremesev 5/5 · lik 5/5
Dominant signal
Near-miss surge
+14.3
No rec yet
Action Center
PTFI Concentrating
Maintenance Shop
58High
Highsev 5/5 · lik 3/5
Dominant signal
Closure decay
+16.7
1 rec active
Action Center
PT BAI
Ops Drainage
39Elevated
Mediumsev 5/5 · lik 2/5
Dominant signal
Near-miss surge
+11.8
1 rec active
Action Center
7-day forecast
Historical 31d + 7d forecast · 95% confidence interval · Prophet-style model
HistoricalForecast95% CITargetRMSE backfit: 12.4
Anomaly feed
5 detected · click to see hypotheses
2 critical
04-20daily soc↑ z=47.8
value: 27 · detector: zscore
likelyGangguan sistem pelaporan — lonjakan artifisial dari malfunction sistem pencatatan. z-score ekstrem (47.84) berbanding closure rate yang stabil.
possibleInsiden massal atau event kritis yang mendadak meningkatkan jumlah laporan SOC di satu hari.
speculativePerubahan mendadak prosedur pelaporan atau kampanye keselamatan baru yang meningkatkan kesadaran melaporkan.
04-19closure rate↑ z=3.2
value: 1 · detector: zscore
04-17daily soc↑ z=4.1
value: 45 · detector: zscore
04-14tta ratio↓ z=-2.8
value: 0.1 · detector: zscore
04-10mgmt ratio↓ z=-3.4
value: 0.2 · detector: zscore